JOE-ZILLA and BERNIE-KONG: Here Are All of My Active Dem Nominee Trades

For the last few weeks I have been crowing non-stop about how I am making lots of opportunistic trades against Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden now that the two of them are basically towering above the Dem field like this:

godzilla vs kong DNC.gif

My philosophy is that neither Godzilla (Bernie) nor Kong (Biden) has defeated this three headed beast yet–

godzilla ghidora

And that in the near future there will be polls and/or results in early primaries that cause enough volatility on PredictIt for me to profit by shorting Bernie and Biden at the insane peak valuations that they’ve been hitting lately.

Screen Shot 2020-01-11 at 1.52.55 PM.png

I honestly think these prices are worse than rap/rock and cannot believe people are buying into them. I wrote about this a few different times:

Why the Dem Primary is a House of Horrors (Dems don’t have their guy yet).

Why I think Bernie shares and polls are inflated

Joe’s World in the South

Black Friday sale in the Dem Primary

The Dem Primary Hurricane


This is a risky strategy due to the fact that we are less than one month away from Iowa and there is a chance that I get cucked for holding on to NO shares for the two candidates, Bernie and Biden, who are most likely to win this race. They are the FAVORITES for a reason. There is a scenario where they just smash through IA, NH, NV, and SC the way Godzilla smashed through New York in the 1998 re-boot starring Matthew Broderick. 

IMG_2858 2

That would be terrible news because (1) the only thing worse than the 1998 Godzilla remake was the 2019 Kamala Harris presidential campaign; and (2) Bernie and Biden crushing the early primaries would do the following to my bankroll:

godzilla dropBLANK.gif

But one of the things I love about betting on politics is that I get to back my opinions, which are genius, up with cash. So for those of you who are wondering — and who need some ideas for how to absolutely nuke the betting lines on PredictIt — here are all the trades I’ve made in the Dem Primary. This sheet will automatically update as I add more.

[googleapps domain=”docs” dir=”spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQqN7s9jW1K3wO4o5AOMoNW0YDgNyfhq53vgnJya-FhWVOCkw6mBXr-eDHxBXTJuqXb_guCZ7Byl7B8/pubhtml” query=”widget=true&headers=false” /]

When these hit, I will be sure to buy all of you some Modelos at the bar.



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4 thoughts on “JOE-ZILLA and BERNIE-KONG: Here Are All of My Active Dem Nominee Trades

  1. Too hard to read the spreadsheet without scrolling back & forth. It would be better if you could see the whole thing at once.

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