Tonight’s State of the Union Mention Markets

They are total garbage. I’m not betting on them.

Here's our lineup of #SOTU2020 prediction markets for tonight:
– how many times will @realDonaldTrump say "America"?
– will Trump say "exonerate"?
– how long will Trump's speech be?
– how many times will there be applause? (based on history, likely a lot)https://t.co/7z3CYiXXCl pic.twitter.com/v25F4l0JTt

— PredictIt (@PredictIt) February 4, 2020

The only market that requires any actual insight is “Will Trump say ‘exonerate'” and at 80/20 odds, that is a terrible bet to make. Generally speaking, I NEVER, EVER, EVER want to take a bet on a mention market that costs more than 60 cents.

I don’t like these markets. Here’s why.

• 

Don’t care, my time is better spent finding cheap buys in the Iowa fallout than gaming this one.

Until one of you programs a bot that can scrape this info from past speeches, not worth my time.

Mildly interesting. Terrible odds. I guess I’d pick NO bc Trump probably doesn’t even want to talk about his legal problems but… terrible odds.

Don’t care.

Good luck.

KEENDAWG.