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I personally have never been a big fan of learning, but as a student of political prediction, it is a necessary evil.
Three large events have happened this month, and there are some huge lessons to take from them.
KYLE RITTENHOUSE IS ACQUITTED OF ALL CHARGES… BUT SOMEONE NEEDS TO GO TO JAIL
Kyle Rittenhouse, the teenager who shot and killed two people during the Kenosha, WI, riots, will not be paying any debt to society.
Now, I am not a legal expert. I didn’t even watch the trial. But it’s obvious who should be serving jail time for the violence that happened on that night. And that person is… every single politician who sanctioned political violence because it furthered their goals.
And we’ve been seeing a lot of that lately.
During the riots that followed George Floyd’s death, many woke mayors and governors prevented the police from doing their jobs, and left their constituents with no protection other than what was in their gun cabinet or garage. Honestly, it’s a miracle that there was only one Kyle Rittenhouse.
But let’s not let the Woke Martyrs Brigade have all the credit for political violence in America. A majority of Congressional Republicans objected to the 2020 election. And their relationship with the rioters who brought violence and destruction into the Capitol on January 6 is also a disturbing self-own.
So — Kyle Rittenhouse — say what you want it about it, that was an awful night in America, and we should all hate senseless violence.
But the politicians who encouraged that violence… who created the conditions for it… or turned a blind eye to it… and the other ones, who later said that violence as retribution was acceptable… they are the real guilty parties.
SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE NANCY PELOSI HAS ADVANCED JOE BIDEN’S 3RD MULTI-TRILLION DOLLAR SPENDING BILL, AND REVEALED A CLOSELY-HELD SECRET ABOUT THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY
Nancy Pelosi is a Hall of Fame legislator. Love her or hate her, she deserves credit for making Obamacare, Dodd-Frank, and multiple stimulus bills law.
Which brings us to this week, when Speaker Pelosi passed the THIRD multi-trillion-dollar spending package of 2021, despite divisions within her own party’s narrow majority, and a public that has turned against President Joe Biden and the Democrats in a measurable way.
Put bluntly, everyone in Washington knows that the Democrats are going to get blown-out in the 2022 elections, especially Pelosi’s counterpart, Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy, who heckled her from the House floor saying that, “Could she [Pelosi] be the speaker in modern history — one of the few to lose the House twice and lose the most seats?”
The answer is — probably. But who cares?
The fact that Pelosi, Biden, and Schumer are plowing ahead on an unpopular agenda demonstrates how Republicans and Democrats value power differently.
Nancy Pelosi is no sissy. She knows that making her Members vote on controversial legislation, such as “Build Back Better,” will have consequences. Her ruling majority took 8 years to rebuild after she willfully sacrificed it, like a General sacrifices his troops, to capture a critical objective — Obamacare.
And she knows that running the same play with “Build Back Better” will probably yield a similar result: a major legislative victory, followed by a brutal electoral defeat.
This tells us everything about how the modern Democratic Party values power.
Unlike Republicans, Democrats use power to actually do things, in this case, creating trillions of dollars of new social programs. To do that, you must acquire political capital, and then expend it. It’s a transaction.
On the other hand, Republicans operate differently.
Political conservatives tend to be biased towards the status quo. And no one has described this better than the movement’s founder, William F. Buckley. In the first issue of The National Review, Buckley wrote that:
“A conservative is someone who stands athwart history, yelling Stop, at a time when no one is inclined to do so.”
That is why when Republicans are in power, they usually use their power to accumulate even more power, instead of trying to achieve conventional policy victories.
Translation: Republicans use their power to make it harder for Democrats to gain power.
This means installing reliable judges; cutting taxes to starve government bureaucracies (and re-pay their donors); enacting regulations that prevent activists — either in the courts or in California’s statehouse — from forcing the government to take a hands-on approach with the economy; and changing voting laws/Congressional districts to favor their candidates.
Some people view this as brutally immoral, but it fits perfectly into Conservatives’ main objective, which is preventing change. And to be clear, that’s a defensible goal. Lots of ideas for “change” are objectively terrible.
It’s just fascinating that the GOP has realized that the only reliable way to do stop change… is to keep the party of change out of power.
SLOW DOWN ON YOUR GLENN YOUNGKIN/”THE GOP IS INEVITABLE” TAKES
It’s been a few weeks since Republican Glenn Youngkin won the Virginia governor’s mansion in an election that’s had Democrats nationwide checking their pants.
And while the political climate does look good for a Republican resurgence, one must remember that people matter.
In Glenn Youngkin, Republicans had an almost perfect candidate: an experienced corporate CEO with instant credibility among the educated suburban voters the GOP has lost… and also a guy with millions of dollars to spend on his own campaign.
That combination of traits is pretty rare, and if you look at some of the bozos the GOP is planning to run in big races next fall (check out our podcast below for a run-down), things don’t look quite as bright.
More on that below.
Anyway, it’s always a fascinating time to be alive. But this has been a particularly interesting week — and our expanded thoughts on these questions are what you will find below.