Don’t Be Fooled By Europe’s First World Problems
One of the reasons why 2022 has been so weird is that Europe has become relevant again. Honestly, I thought it was just a continent full of soccer players and baguettes, but European nations and their leaders are critical to the war effort in Ukraine and Joe Biden’s multi-lateral leadership style.
The re-emergence of European leadership is crucial for political bettors to understand, and in the U.S., they rarely do.
In fact, we’re certain that U.S. players have it completely wrong and are wasting valuable time and money outthinking themselves in these marketplaces:
U.S BETTORS ARE DUMBIES
That is error is compounded by the fact that the winning sides of these trades often come from <10% winners.
So we are very happy to welcome NICK OTTENS, publisher of THE ATLANTIC SENTINEL, a Dutch paper of record for European affairs, to SSG.
Nick provides a dashing summary of what exactly is happening overseas. He has an especially keen eye for political prediction in countries like The Netherlands, Spain, and Italy, where getting access to information is very hard for Americans.
EUROPE’S PROBLEMS: WURST THAN YOU THINK?
We asked Nick who the next Head-of-State to lose power would be. And his answer was surprising, owing to the fact that he sees today’s Europe as historically stable.
“We’re already beyond that,” he told SSG, referring to the anti-establishment & anti-incumbent trends here in the USA.
He added that, “If anything the war in Ukraine has accelerated that trend a bit. People are thinking about, ‘Should I really be voting for parties that have never been in power before; leaders some of whom sympathize with Vladimir Putin… maybe it’s safer to vote for a mainstream party, even if they’re not doing everything i want on issues.’”
In other words, the vibe is, “We need a safe pair of hands.”
So if it’s not Right Wing populists or Left Wing separatist who are going to take-down Europe’s centrist governments, then what is it? And where will it hit first? The answers may surprise you.
LISTEN TO THE FULL PODCAST
GET FREE MONEY AND SWAG TO BET ON POLITICS:
Claim a $200 matching bonus on America’s largest (legal) political gambling exchange. Just click here and receive a $200 match.
First-time Kalshi user? Join the $30M Silicon Valley prediction market with some free swag. Sign up with the SSG Members referral code and get free swag + hook it up for your boys here.
1 thought on “Don’t Be Fooled By Europe’s First World Problems”