There are two very reasonable perspectives to have on where we are in the election cycle:
- It’s obviously going to be a Republican year; but
- Betting markets are getting way ahead of themselves pricing this in
CURRENT PREDICTIT ODDS — CRAZY!!!
This is one reason why I, personally, am not putting a lot of money into the market currently.
Even if you agree that the Republicans will probably win the House & Senate, it’s hard to justify betting on them at these prices (70c in NEVADA!!??).
It’s an even more dubious proposition when you consider that, by the end of the week, we’ll have enough data from early vote tallies to either confirm or rule out the “RED TSUNAMI” theorem that bettors are getting carried away with right.
So, on this episode of SSG, we are focusing on…
ON THIS PODCAST:
- Who is already counting votes for you in crucual swing states, like GA & NV
- Why Georgia is probably going to a run-off
- How Pennsylvania’s Senate debate will influence the market
- Whether endorsements matter
& much more
We don’t have to agree on everything, but I would much rather wait a few days and buy a sure thing — and maybe buy the bottom on the Democrats in a few key races — than just keep pumping a BIG RED BUBBLE that may be popping soon.
LISTEN TO THE FULL POD & GET ALL THE DETAILS:
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