Biden’s Cognitive Decline: What Computer Vision Is Telling Us
Joe Biden announced his campaign for re-election, but the markets still give him less than…
COVID-19
It’s Time to Prove That Political Gamblers Are More Accurate Than “Experts”
I became interested in political prediction markets when I realized that conventional sources of policy…
Pod: Caitlyn Jenner for Governor?
Call-in show featuring: — Zoltar, Pratik, and Vice on Caitlyn Jenner lottos — Zoltar…
Pod: Liz Cheney, Dogecoin to $1?
It’s a call-in show featuring: — Brett, Pratik, and Vanilla Vice on Liz Cheney’s Future…
Peru Elections and New York Mayor
— Stefano Gamba (@senfetterman) and iSavage on Peru presidential elections — Peter Hurford, Gaeten Dugas,…
How to Gamble on Joe Biden’s Health
What if Joe Biden dies or even looks like he might? This is an important…
Don’t Bet on a Party of Losers
Back in September, Keendawg argued that the Republican Party had transformed from the “party of…
The Stage is Set for a Landslide
On an April podcast, I predicted that Trump was pursuing a high-risk strategy on COVID…
If You Feel Like Buying Lottos…Consider the Cabinet Market
In the market on which of the 13 members of Trump’s Cabinet will leave next,…
Unlike Keendawg, I Know It’s Too Soon to Get In the Dem Convention Market
The market on whether the Democratic Party will hold its convention at Fiserv Forum in…